Workshop home page Participants Talks Photos Epidemics home page Rutgers 2003 Edinburgh 2007

DIMACS/ECDC workshop:

`Spatio-temporal and Network Modelling of Diseases III'

Rottenburg/Tübingen 21-25 October 2008


Programme and Participants list - printable version - 4 pages pdf

The durations of the sessions indicated are intended to allow some time for general discussion. Guidelines are that individual talks should be 15-20 mins, except for the initial review (O'Neill) and the final talk (Keiding) for each of which 40-45 minutes is allocated. Up to 40 minutes is allowed in the timetable for the combined talks (Ball and Sirl, O'Neill and Kypraios).

All events from Tuesday to Thursday will be at the main venue, the Johann Baptist Hirscher Haus, Rottenburg, unless otherwise stated.

On Friday, the talks and discussions will be in Tübingen, at the Conference Centre of Tübingen University Clinics.

Tuesday 21 October

16.00 onwards
Registration at Johann Baptist Hirscher Haus in Rottenburg

18.30 - 20.00
Welcome, introductions, and drinks at Johann Baptist Hirscher Haus

Dinner at Württemberger Hof in Rottenburg

Wednesday 22 October

Relating models to data I - Chair: Denis Mollison

Welcome and introductory remarks
Philip O'Neill   Relating models to data: a review
Nele Goeyvaerts   Elucidating age-specific differences in susceptibility and infectiousness for airborne infections from data on social contacts and serological status
Nico Nagelkerke   Heterogeneity in host HIV susceptibility as a potential contributor to recent HIV prevalence declines in Africa


Vern Farewell   The use of auxiliary information to deal with informatively missing data
Lisa Sattenspiel   The potential significance of co-circulating pathogens on patterns of spatial spread
Nelson Onyango   Optimal Vaccination Strategies in Periodic Settings

13.00 Lunch and brief walking tour of Rottenburg

New approaches to modeling - Chair: Martin Eichner

Valerie Isham   Epidemics and rumours on networks
Pieter Trapman   Is R0 compatible with spatial epidemics? - new results from long-range percolation
Eben Kenah   Network-based targeting of interventions


Mirjam Kretzschmar   Comparison of network models for STI transmission and intervention: how useful are they for public health?
Malwina Luczak   Laws of large numbers for epidemic models with countably many types
Alun Lloyd   Novel control strategies for vector borne diseases: new challenges for modellers

Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd

Tommi Asikainen   Future disease challenges in Europe - where modelling is needed

General discussion.

Dinner at Weinstube Stanis in Rottenburg

Thursday 23 October

Relating models to data II - Chair Tommi Asikainen

Maroussia Bojkova   On age-dependent branching models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by additional vaccination
Ake Svensson   Non-parametric estimation of transmission functions in emerging epidemics
Jacco Wallinga   Who infected whom? Estimation of infection trees, generation intervals and local network structure

Workshop photo

Mark Handcock   Modeling Networks from partially-observed network data
Krista Gile   Using link-tracing data to inform epidemiology
Eduardo Massad   Scale-Free Network of Dengue in Singapore
Johannes Mueller   What do data from contact tracing tell us?

12.00 Lunch

Integration of modelling scales - Chair: Denis Mollison

Frank Ball and David Sirl   Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing
Steven Leach   European demographic and movement data for modelling
Iain Barrass   Modelling world-wide disease spread: a case for using different spatial scales

14.30 Bus to Tübingen
Excursion to Tübingen, Bebenhausen Monastery, and Hagelloch

Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd

Klaus Dietz   A historic Hagelloch measles epidemic
Neil Ferguson   Model complexity: holding back the simulation tide

General discussion and pre-dinner drinks

Dinner at Grüner Baum Inn in Hagelloch

Friday 24 October

8.15 Bus to Tübingen / Change to the Conference Centre of Tübingen University Clinics

Public health and policy issues - Chair: Valerie Isham

Sheila Bird   Public health and policy issues on illegal drugs use
Peter Grove   Within Pandemic Forecasting in the UK: Plans for nowcasting, short and long term forecasting in an influenza pandemic and the experience gained from exercises
Tommi Asikainen   Modelling as a tool for public health, role and structure of European Union wide networks


Philip O'Neill and Theodore Kypraios   Modelling and data analysis for antibiotic-resistant pathogens in healthcare settings
Mick Roberts   Seasonal influenza in New Zealand
Matt Ferrari   Spatial patterns on the edge of dynamic stability: measles in the Sahel

Discussion: Future research directions and research challenges - Chair: Alun Lloyd

Final discussion

13.00 Lunch at the Conference Centre of Tübingen University Clinics

13:30 Change to CRONA Lecture hall 210 of Tübingen University Clinics

Niels Keiding   Influenza in Denmark 1918: three contrasting analyses

Retirement celebration of Klaus Dietz

Klaus Unertl   Laudatio

Klaus Dietz   Models - Modelle

16.00-17.00 Reception and snacks

Visit to Tübingen Castle

18:00 Reception
18:30 Guided tour through Tübingen Castle Museum
19:30 Organ concert in Castle Chapel
20:00 Dinner in honour of Klaus Dietz at Tübingen Castle, Fürstenzimmer

Saturday 25 October: departure

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vMaintained by Denis Mollison

20th October 2008